Jordan moves into contention at Alfred Dunhill Links despite Piers Morgan sledging Hot: Odds moved 45 points in 24 hours
Matthew Jordan shot a seven-under 65 to join the lead at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship after enduring verbal jousting from Piers Morgan.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 26% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 2 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 2 October at 17:17 UTC; BBC Sport followed 25h 28m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 3 October at 18:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Matthew Jordan — resolved “No” on 3 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Matthew Jordan holds the lead after the final round of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. It resolves to No if he does not hold that specific position at that time. Readers often mistake current standings or earlier rounds for the final result.
- MJ Daffue — the market puts it at 54%, with $628 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if MJ Daffue finishes in the top 20 of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. It resolves to No if he does not finish in that range. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Jordan for the relevant event instead of focusing on Daffue's final standing.
- Jacob Skov Olesen — the market puts it at 71%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jacob Skov Olesen finishes in the top 10 of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jordan for the relevant event, but only Olesen's final standing matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Matthew Jordan No 1h ago
The market favoured No at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi MJ Daffue 54% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jacob Skov Olesen 71% +45
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Matthew Jordan
- Piers Morgan
- Alfred Dunhill Links Championship