Jonathan Bailey, Bill Nighy to Star in Love Story 'Insomniac City'
The film depicts the romance between writer Bill Hayes and neurologist Oliver Sacks, with Altitude handling worldwide sales at the American Film Market.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Deadline, 49 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 19:40 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Jonathan Bailey respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 9 Nov 2026. Deadline published first, on 9 November at 16:17 UTC; Variety followed 50 min later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 9 November at 19:48 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Jonathan Bailey — the market puts it at 3%, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Jonathan Bailey is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the casting deadline.
- Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? — the market puts it at 0%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Jonathan Bailey receives an official announcement as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no such announcement occurs within that timeframe or if another actor is named first. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of casting rather than the final cutoff for any official announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Jonathan Bailey at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- DeadlineJonathan Bailey & Bill Nighy To Star In Love Story ‘Insomniac City’ For Director Dominic Cooke — AFM3%
- VarietyJonathan Bailey to Star in Gay Romance Film ‘Insomniac City’ for ‘Elsinore’ Producers3%
- The Hollywood ReporterJonathan Bailey and Bill Nighy to Star in Oliver Sacks Love Story ‘Insomniac City’3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Jonathan Bailey and Bill Nighy to Star in Oliver Sacks Love Story ‘Insomniac City’ The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Jonathan Bailey to Star in Gay Romance Film ‘Insomniac City’ for ‘Elsinore’ Producers Variety ·
- Jonathan Bailey & Bill Nighy To Star In Love Story ‘Insomniac City’ For Director Dominic Cooke — AFM Deadline
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Jonathan Bailey · Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jonathan Bailey
- Bill Nighy
- Dominic Cooke
- Bill Hayes
- Oliver Sacks