Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 9 Nov, 13:19 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 07:08 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Jonathan Bailey receives an official announcement as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no such announcement occurs within that timeframe or if another actor is named first. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of casting rather than the final cutoff for any official announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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