John Mayer Launches Sob Rock Records With Mercury Records

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 22 October at 19:02 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 22 October at 20:18 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Billboard, Rolling Stone.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• John Mayer — the market puts it at 34%, with $218 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if John Mayer releases a new album in 2026. The outcome is No if he does not release a new album in 2026. Readers often mistake the linked Las Vegas residency for the resolution criteria, but only the album release matters.
• John Mayer — the market puts it at 6%, closing 26 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if John Mayer has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not reach that position by that date. Readers often mistake the release date of his new album or label launch for the deadline.
• John Mayer — the market puts it at 22%, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if John Mayer releases a song that reaches the top 20 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart by the issue dated December 26, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date of his new record label or album for the deadline, but only the specific Billboard chart ranking matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.