John Mayer
Implied probability 22%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves29 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if John Mayer releases a song that reaches the top 20 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart by the issue dated December 26, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date of his new record label or album for the deadline, but only the specific Billboard chart ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 22%
- No 78%