John Mayer
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves26 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Mayer has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not reach that position by that date. Readers often mistake the release date of his new album or label launch for the deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%