Japan PM Takaichi's Approval Rating Falls Below 50% Amid Cabinet Scandal

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 18 Oct 2026. Latest articles published first, on 18 October at 11:11 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 13h 45m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 19 October at 00:56 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Latest articles.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Sanae Takaichi — the market puts it at 3%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sanae Takaichi announces her intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of Japan before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story's one-year anniversary for the resolution deadline.
• Sanae Takaichi — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2045. The market resolves to Yes if the current Japanese Prime Minister is the first G7 leader to leave office at the time of issuance. It resolves to No if this condition is not met. Readers often mistake the linked story's headline for the resolution trigger, but the outcome depends solely on who holds the title and when they depart relative to other G7 leaders.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.