Jackson brace ends Manchester City's perfect start with win over Aston Villa
Nicolas Jackson scored twice as Aston Villa defeated Manchester City 2-1, ending the champions' perfect start to the season.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Guardian Sport, 18 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 31% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 24% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 25% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 23% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 24% |
| 22 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 33% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 33% |
| 18 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 40% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Manchester City respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 24 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 24 October at 13:33 UTC; SkySports followed 18 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 24 October at 14:32 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 32%, with $105 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Manchester City finishes in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings for Yes. Any other finish results in No. Readers often mistake this WSL match result for the EPL season outcome.
- 2+ Trophies — the market puts it at 16%, closing 15 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins at least two trophies from the Premier League, FA Cup, League Cup, or Champions League during the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for a resolution factor, but only actual trophy wins in that specific season count.
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 18%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the end of the current season or confuse this with any other league title.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Manchester City at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportAston Villa and Jackson end Manchester City’s perfect run with stunning win32%
- SkySportsJackson brace for Villa ends Man City’s perfect record31%▼1 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraMan City beaten at Aston Villa as perfect Premier League start ends31%
- www.espn.comManchester City's perfect EPL start ends with Aston Villa loss31%
- Current odds32%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Manchester City's perfect EPL start ends with Aston Villa loss www.espn.com ·
- Man City beaten at Aston Villa as perfect Premier League start ends Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Aston Villa and Jackson end Manchester City’s perfect run with stunning win The Guardian Sport ·
- Jackson brace for Villa ends Man City’s perfect record SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Manchester City 32% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 2+ Trophies 16%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester City 18%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Aston Villa
- Manchester City
- Nicolas Jackson
- Erling Haaland