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Manchester City

Implied probability 19%−2
24-hour volume$108
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves5 Jun 2027

Why it moved: −4 points at 15:15 UTC, after SkySports: Greenwood free-kick vs Charlton maintains Man City's perfect record — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Manchester City
0%50%100%19%25 Sept, 14:44 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now19%
26 Sept, 15:15 UTC19%
25 Sept, 14:44 UTC23%

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What counts

Manchester City must win the 2026-2027 FA Cup for the outcome to be Yes. The team loses if they do not win this specific tournament. Readers often mistake other victories, like the league title, as counting toward this resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 19%
  • No 81%

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