Italy Set to Pass EU-Compliant Budget for 2027
The government plans a €23.5bn package of tax cuts and spending increases to align with European Union fiscal rules.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 41% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 41% |
| 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 36% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 05:14 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 28 October at 05:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Giorgia Meloni — the market puts it at 41%, closing 22 Dec 2028. The market resolves to 'Yes' if Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election and meets all constitutional requirements before December 22, 2028. The outcome is 'No' if she does not assume the role under these conditions within the specified timeframe.
- Giorgia Meloni — the market puts it at 4%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Giorgia Meloni officially announces her intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of Italy before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about trademarking her voice for a relevant event, but only her departure from the premiership counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Giorgia Meloni 41%
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- Kalshi Giorgia Meloni 4%
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In this story
- Giorgia Meloni
- Italy