Giorgia Meloni
Implied probability 5%+2
24-hour volume$3
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Giorgia Meloni officially announces her intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of Italy before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about trademarking her voice for a relevant event, but only her departure from the premiership counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 96%