Iran’s President Addresses UN Amidst US Threats and Nuclear Concerns
Masoud Pezeshkian delivered a speech at the UNGA rebutting Trump's threats, while IAEA chief Rafael Grossi noted Iran still holds significant nuclear material.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 21 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 8% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
14 publishers have covered this in 71 articles since 12 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 12 September at 14:49 UTC; France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines followed 36h 49m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 25 September at 11:37 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, South China Morning Post, Times of India, Deutsche Welle and 2 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $345 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if they do not have such a meeting within that timeframe. Readers often mistake scheduled or virtual interactions for an in-person meeting.
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 14%, with $702 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Jun 2027. Masoud Pezeshkian must be physically present at a formal, senior-level diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian officials for the Yes outcome. The event must occur in person by December 31, 2026, and be publicly acknowledged by either government or credible media. Readers often mistake brief greetings, chance encounters, or technical staff meetings for qualifying diplomatic negotiations.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 5%, with $376 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake general diplomatic talks or media reports for an official recognition by the US government.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIranian official tells Al Jazeera IAEA ruling was imposed by US and Israel—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesMiddle East live: Iran's nuclear chief not expected to attend IAEA General Conference, official says—
- ABC NewsIran denounces Austria for blocking its nuclear chief from a meeting in Vienna—
- South China Morning PostUS blocks Iran’s nuclear chief from Vienna meeting—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAustria denies entry to Iranian official after UN ruling—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS blocks Iran nuclear chief from attending key Vienna conference—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSweden expels Iran embassy employee, citing security concerns—
- Times of IndiaUS extends visa curbs on Palestine officials, blocks President Abbas from UN General Assembly—
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS again denies Palestinian leader visa for UN General Assembly—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS extends visa ban on Palestinian officials before UN General Assembly—
Show 61 later sources
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS bars Palestinian president from attending UNGA for second year—
- Deutsche WelleUS extends visa denial for Palestinian officials ahead of UNGA—
- The Guardian USTrump administration denies entry visas to Palestinian officials ahead of UN general assembly—
- The HillTrump administration denies visas for Palestinian delegation to attend UN General Assembly for second year—
- Washington PostU.S. will let Iranian leaders attend U.N. General Assembly in New York—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS approves visas for top Iranian leaders to attend UN General Assembly—
- The HillUS will allow 'core' Iranian delegation join United Nations summit in New York—
- South China Morning PostUS to allow Iranian leaders to attend UN meeting in New York amid wartime stand-off—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEU urges US to lift travel ban on Palestinian delegation for UNGA meeting—
- Fox News WorldTrump, Iranian president converge on NYC for ‘dramatic’ UN showdown as Tehran faces tight restrictions—
- Times of IndiaIran president invited to New York for UN; but restricted to hotel-UN route—
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran president heads to UNGA, vows to highlight US ‘oppression’8%
- businessinsider.comUS visa restrictions leave Uganda with five-member delegation at UN General Assembly8%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran delegation to present narrative of resilience, diplomacy at UNGA8%
- The HillTrump open to meeting Iran’s president on UNGA sidelines: Rubio8%
- Times of IndiaTrump-Pezeshkian meeting on UNGA sidelines? US prez 'open' to talks with Iran8%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump says US officials met with Iranian delegation for three hours8%
- The HillUS, Iranian officials hold three-hour meeting at UN: Trump8%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS refusing to give Sudan's de facto leader visa for UN8%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump: US-Iran meeting at UN was ‘very good’8%
- businessinsider.comUS withholds visa for African army chief to attend UN after he resists its 90-day ceasefire plan in a war that has killed tens of thousands8%
- businessinsider.comUS withholds visa for Sudan army chief ahead of UNGA over opposition to US-backed 90-day ceasefire plan in war that has killed thousands8%
- Bloomberg.comUS and Iran Sit Down for Talks at the UN: Evening Briefing Americas8%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUNGA Day 1: US and Iran hold talks despite Trump’s threat8%
- Bloomberg.comUS-Iran Talks on Sidelines of UN Summit, Chipmakers Rally, More8%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIranian President Masoud Pezeshkian arrives in New York for UNGA8%
- Times of IndiaUS-Iran talks: What was discussed in Trump's 'good meeting' on the sidelines of UNGA8%
- businessinsider.comSudan asks UN to intervene as US reportedly withholds army chief’s visa over 90-day ceasefire plan8%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesLive: Pezeshkian set to address UN for the first time since US, Israel launched Iran war8%
- The Guardian USIran denies dropping preconditions amid ‘very productive’ three-hour UN talks in New York8%
- Bloomberg MarketsTrump Hails Iran Talks, Swiss Lawmakers Reject UBS Capital Compromise8%
- The HillWatch live: Iran's Pezeshkian, Zelensky, Rodriguez to address UNGA4%▼4 points since the previous source
- The Hill NewsLive updates: US delegation walks out during Iranian president’s UN speech; White House media ban faces legal test; Trump to greet Xi ahead of summit4%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesREPLAY: Iranian President Pezeshkian adresses UNGA4%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIran’s Pezeshkian tells UN his country is ‘victim’ of US ‘terrorism’4%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIranian president adresses UNGA amid war with US4%
- AxiosIran president: We have been "victims of terrorism"4%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIran will 'never bend at the knee', Pezeshkian tells UN in defiant wartime address4%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS envoy walks out on Pezeshkian UN speech slamming war on Iran4%
- The HillIran’s president delivers Trump rebuttal4%
- Fox News PoliticsThe top moments from Iran president’s tense visit to US soil as war rages4%
- NPR WorldIran's president gives a rare wartime speech at the U.N.4%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran’s Pezeshkian slams ‘terrorist’ US but extols diplomacy in UN speech4%
- Bloomberg MarketsIAEA's Grossi Says Iran Nuclear Inspections Can Resume Fast4%
- Bloomberg MarketsIAEA Director on Nuclear Material Left in Iran4%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIran’s president brings receipts of US strikes on civilians to the UNGA4%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraOutcry in Sudan as US reportedly holds al-Burhan’s UN visa over truce plan4%
- The HillDid we just hear the Iranian regime's last speech at the UN?4%
- The HillWatch live: Netanyahu to address UN amis US-Israel war in Iran4%
- The HillSenate Republican: Iranian leaders 'part of a colony of reptiles' that also includes China, Russia, North Korea4%
- Times of IndiaPalestinian president delivers UN speech by video after US denies visa again3%▼1 points since the previous source
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesREPLAY: Palestinian president Abbas addresses UN General Assembly3%
- Deutsche WelleUNGA: Abbas blasts US and Israel, calls for Palestinian self-determination3%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIsraeli policies threaten 'life and existence' of Palestinians, Abbas tells UN3%
- Times of IndiaShehbaz-Pezeshkian meet in New York, Pak pushes de-escalation, Islamabad MoU3%
- Fox News WorldReporter's Notebook: Call for a free Iran echoes at the United Nations3%
- South China Morning PostUK will not ‘tolerate intimidation’, foreign secretary tells Iran3%
- Times of India‘It is unholy, It is illegal’: Iran President Pezeshkian denies nuclear bomb ambition3%
- NPR WorldIran's president says his country has 'no trust' in U.S. in meeting with journalists3%
- Deutsche WelleIranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to UNGA in New York. What did his speech signal?3%
- Deutsche WelleIranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to New York for UNGA. What did his remarks signal?3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Iran's president says his country has 'no trust' in U.S. in meeting with journalists NPR World ·
- Senate Republican: Iranian leaders 'part of a colony of reptiles' that also includes China, Russia, North Korea The Hill ·
- Watch live: Netanyahu to address UN amis US-Israel war in Iran The Hill ·
- Did we just hear the Iranian regime's last speech at the UN? The Hill ·
- Outcry in Sudan as US reportedly holds al-Burhan’s UN visa over truce plan Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran’s president brings receipts of US strikes on civilians to the UNGA Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Show 65 more sources
- IAEA Director on Nuclear Material Left in Iran Bloomberg Markets ·
- IAEA's Grossi Says Iran Nuclear Inspections Can Resume Fast Bloomberg Markets ·
- Iran’s Pezeshkian slams ‘terrorist’ US but extols diplomacy in UN speech Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran's president gives a rare wartime speech at the U.N. NPR World ·
- Iran’s president delivers Trump rebuttal The Hill ·
- US envoy walks out on Pezeshkian UN speech slamming war on Iran Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran president: We have been "victims of terrorism" Axios ·
- Live updates: US delegation walks out during Iranian president’s UN speech; White House media ban faces legal test; Trump to greet Xi ahead of summit The Hill News ·
- Watch live: Iran's Pezeshkian, Zelensky, Rodriguez to address UNGA The Hill ·
- Trump Hails Iran Talks, Swiss Lawmakers Reject UBS Capital Compromise Bloomberg Markets ·
- Iran denies dropping preconditions amid ‘very productive’ three-hour UN talks in New York The Guardian US ·
- Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian arrives in New York for UNGA Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US-Iran Talks on Sidelines of UN Summit, Chipmakers Rally, More Bloomberg.com ·
- UNGA Day 1: US and Iran hold talks despite Trump’s threat Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US and Iran Sit Down for Talks at the UN: Evening Briefing Americas Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump: US-Iran meeting at UN was ‘very good’ Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US, Iranian officials hold three-hour meeting at UN: Trump The Hill ·
- Trump says US officials met with Iranian delegation for three hours Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump open to meeting Iran’s president on UNGA sidelines: Rubio The Hill ·
- Iran delegation to present narrative of resilience, diplomacy at UNGA Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran president heads to UNGA, vows to highlight US ‘oppression’ Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- EU urges US to lift travel ban on Palestinian delegation for UNGA meeting Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US will allow 'core' Iranian delegation join United Nations summit in New York The Hill ·
- US approves visas for top Iranian leaders to attend UN General Assembly Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- U.S. will let Iranian leaders attend U.N. General Assembly in New York Washington Post ·
- Trump administration denies visas for Palestinian delegation to attend UN General Assembly for second year The Hill ·
- Trump administration denies entry visas to Palestinian officials ahead of UN general assembly The Guardian US ·
- US bars Palestinian president from attending UNGA for second year Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US extends visa ban on Palestinian officials before UN General Assembly Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Sweden expels Iran embassy employee, citing security concerns Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- US blocks Iran nuclear chief from attending key Vienna conference Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Austria denies entry to Iranian official after UN ruling Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iran denounces Austria for blocking its nuclear chief from a meeting in Vienna ABC News ·
- Iranian official tells Al Jazeera IAEA ruling was imposed by US and Israel Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Iranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to New York for UNGA. What did his remarks signal? Deutsche Welle
- Iranian President Pezeshkian brought a diplomatic tone to UNGA in New York. What did his speech signal? Deutsche Welle
- ‘It is unholy, It is illegal’: Iran President Pezeshkian denies nuclear bomb ambition Times of India
- UK will not ‘tolerate intimidation’, foreign secretary tells Iran South China Morning Post
- Reporter's Notebook: Call for a free Iran echoes at the United Nations Fox News World
- Shehbaz-Pezeshkian meet in New York, Pak pushes de-escalation, Islamabad MoU Times of India
- Israeli policies threaten 'life and existence' of Palestinians, Abbas tells UN France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- UNGA: Abbas blasts US and Israel, calls for Palestinian self-determination Deutsche Welle
- REPLAY: Palestinian president Abbas addresses UN General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Palestinian president delivers UN speech by video after US denies visa again Times of India
- The top moments from Iran president’s tense visit to US soil as war rages Fox News Politics
- Iran will 'never bend at the knee', Pezeshkian tells UN in defiant wartime address France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Iranian president adresses UNGA amid war with US France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Iran’s Pezeshkian tells UN his country is ‘victim’ of US ‘terrorism’ France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- REPLAY: Iranian President Pezeshkian adresses UNGA France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Live: Pezeshkian set to address UN for the first time since US, Israel launched Iran war France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Sudan asks UN to intervene as US reportedly withholds army chief’s visa over 90-day ceasefire plan businessinsider.com
- US-Iran talks: What was discussed in Trump's 'good meeting' on the sidelines of UNGA Times of India
- US withholds visa for African army chief to attend UN after he resists its 90-day ceasefire plan in a war that has killed tens of thousands businessinsider.com
- US withholds visa for Sudan army chief ahead of UNGA over opposition to US-backed 90-day ceasefire plan in war that has killed thousands businessinsider.com
- US refusing to give Sudan's de facto leader visa for UN France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Trump-Pezeshkian meeting on UNGA sidelines? US prez 'open' to talks with Iran Times of India
- US visa restrictions leave Uganda with five-member delegation at UN General Assembly businessinsider.com
- Iran president invited to New York for UN; but restricted to hotel-UN route Times of India
- Trump, Iranian president converge on NYC for ‘dramatic’ UN showdown as Tehran faces tight restrictions Fox News World
- US to allow Iranian leaders to attend UN meeting in New York amid wartime stand-off South China Morning Post
- US extends visa denial for Palestinian officials ahead of UNGA Deutsche Welle
- US again denies Palestinian leader visa for UN General Assembly France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- US extends visa curbs on Palestine officials, blocks President Abbas from UN General Assembly Times of India
- US blocks Iran’s nuclear chief from Vienna meeting South China Morning Post
- Middle East live: Iran's nuclear chief not expected to attend IAEA General Conference, official says France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
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- Polymarket Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? 14%
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- Kalshi Before 2027 5%
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In this story
- Masoud Pezeshkian
- Donald Trump
- United Nations General Assembly
- IAEA
- Rafael Grossi