Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: −4 points at 11:51 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Trump Hails Iran Talks, Swiss Lawmakers Reject UBS Capital Compromise — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if they do not have such a meeting within that timeframe. Readers often mistake scheduled or virtual interactions for an in-person meeting.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%