Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 22% |
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What counts
Masoud Pezeshkian must be physically present at a formal, senior-level diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian officials for the Yes outcome. The event must occur in person by December 31, 2026, and be publicly acknowledged by either government or credible media. Readers often mistake brief greetings, chance encounters, or technical staff meetings for qualifying diplomatic negotiations.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 88%
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