Indonesia’s Prabowo Appoints New Police Chief and Foreign Minister in Cabinet Reshuffle
Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto has appointed Suyudi Ario Seto as police chief and Nasir as foreign minister to address criticism and restore credibility.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 1 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 1 October at 09:32 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 25h 12m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 2 October at 10:44 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Prabowo Subianto stops being President at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for when he actually leaves office rather than when the event occurs.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- South China Morning PostIndonesia’s Prabowo appoints new police chief following scandals at the force—
- South China Morning PostIndonesia’s Prabowo appoints new foreign minister—
- South China Morning PostIndonesian cabinet reshuffle: how Prabowo is looking to restore credibility amid criticism5%
- South China Morning PostCan Indonesia’s new police chief repair the force’s image, commit to reforms?5%
- Bloomberg MarketsPrabowo Taps Tycoons, Religious Leaders as Presidential Advisers5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Prabowo Taps Tycoons, Religious Leaders as Presidential Advisers Bloomberg Markets ·
- Can Indonesia’s new police chief repair the force’s image, commit to reforms? South China Morning Post
- Indonesian cabinet reshuffle: how Prabowo is looking to restore credibility amid criticism South China Morning Post
- Indonesia’s Prabowo appoints new foreign minister South China Morning Post
- Indonesia’s Prabowo appoints new police chief following scandals at the force South China Morning Post
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Prabowo Subianto
- Suyudi Ario Seto
- Listyo Sigit Prabowo
- Nasir
- Indonesia