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Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$62k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
0%50%100%5%2 Oct, 03:35 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
2 Oct, 03:35 UTC5%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Prabowo Subianto stops being President at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for when he actually leaves office rather than when the event occurs.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 96%

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