Indonesia's New Finance Minister Vows Fiscal Discipline to Restore Investor Confidence
Suahasil Nazara pledges policy continuity and a 3% GDP deficit cap to reassure markets amid uncertainty over President Prabowo Subianto’s economic agenda.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 4 articles since 2 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 2 October at 03:15 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 2 October at 06:26 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $63 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Prabowo Subianto stops being President at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for when he actually leaves office rather than when the event occurs.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia’s New Finance Chief Puts Teamwork at Heart of Reset—
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesian Finance Minister: 'We are credible'5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia's New Finance Minister Vows Fiscal Discipline Amid Questions Over Growth Ambitions5%
- Bloomberg MarketsIndonesia Finance Chief Avoids Prabowo Turf Wars5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Indonesia Finance Chief Avoids Prabowo Turf Wars Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesia's New Finance Minister Vows Fiscal Discipline Amid Questions Over Growth Ambitions Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesian Finance Minister: 'We are credible' Bloomberg Markets ·
- Indonesia’s New Finance Chief Puts Teamwork at Heart of Reset Bloomberg Markets ·
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? 5%
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In this story
- Prabowo Subianto
- Suahasil Nazara
- Danantara