Pritzker, Biss, Ford and Miller Win Illinois Elections
Incumbent JB Pritzker wins re-election as governor while Democrats Evan Biss, La Shawn Ford, and Donna Miller secure House seats in Illinois.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Nov, 12:21 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill News published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; Bloomberg.com followed 8h 01m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 4 November at 01:53 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Illinois governor election, while No applies if any other candidate wins. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on official certification if they do not agree.
- Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Illinois U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The 'No' outcome applies if a Democrat or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final certification date instead of the moment when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate.
- Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? — the market puts it at 98%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the winner of Illinois's 4th congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections is affiliated with the Democratic Party. The No outcome applies if that winner belongs to the Republican Party or any other party.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hill NewsIllinois live results: 2026 governor’s election2%
- The Hill NewsIllinois live results: 2026 House elections2%
- Bloomberg.comDemocrat Pritzker Wins Illinois Governor Race, AP Projects1%
- The HillMiller projected to win Illinois election to replace Kelly in House0%▼1 points since the previous source
- The HillFord wins Illinois House election for retiring Danny Davis’s seat0%
- The HillBiss wins Illinois election to succeed Schakowsky in House0%
- The HillPritzker wins third term as Illinois governor0%
- The HillBean set to return to Capitol Hill after Illinois House victory0%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Bean set to return to Capitol Hill after Illinois House victory The Hill ·
- Pritzker wins third term as Illinois governor The Hill ·
- Biss wins Illinois election to succeed Schakowsky in House The Hill ·
- Ford wins Illinois House election for retiring Danny Davis’s seat The Hill ·
- Miller projected to win Illinois election to replace Kelly in House The Hill ·
- Democrat Pritzker Wins Illinois Governor Race, AP Projects Bloomberg.com ·
- Illinois live results: 2026 governor’s election The Hill News ·
- Illinois live results: 2026 House elections The Hill News ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026? 0% −1
Does the market have this right?
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- Polymarket Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? 98% +7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- JB Pritzker
- Evan Biss
- La Shawn Ford
- Donna Miller
- Jan Schakowsky
- Danny Davis