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Google Unveils Gemini 4 Argon AI Model for Trusted Cyber Defenders Hot: $116k traded on its market in 24 hours

The company released the new frontier model to a limited group of cybersecurity partners for complex enterprise tasks.

5 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 30 Sept 2026 · updated 58m ago

First reported by Google DeepMind, 2 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Before Oct 1, 2026 2% −2 $116k 24hends 1 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Gemini 36% +26 $102k 24hends 31 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Gemini 23% +23 $13k 24hends 31 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

How the odds moved · Before Oct 1, 2026
0%50%100%2%24 Sept, 10:28 UTCnowThe Verge: Google announces Gemini 4 and says it’s so capable that only ‘trusted cyber defenders’ can have it right now · 30 Sept, 20:41 UTCAxios: Google unveils long-awaited Gemini 4 · 30 Sept, 20:21 UTCArs Technica: Google announces Gemini 4 Argon AI model, but you can't use it yet · 30 Sept, 20:11 UTCHacker News: Gemini 4 Argon (High): Intelligence, Performance and Price Analysis · 30 Sept, 20:50 UTCHacker News: Gemini 4 Argon · 30 Sept, 20:04 UTCGoogle DeepMind: Gemini 4 Argon: our next era of frontier intelligence · 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
30 Sept, 21:47 UTC2%
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24 Sept, 16:18 UTC4%
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24 Sept, 10:28 UTC6%

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How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Oct 1, 2026 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Google DeepMindGemini 4 Argon: our next era of frontier intelligence4%
  2. Hacker NewsGemini 4 Argon4%
  3. Ars TechnicaGoogle announces Gemini 4 Argon AI model, but you can't use it yet4%
  4. AxiosGoogle unveils long-awaited Gemini 44%
  5. The VergeGoogle announces Gemini 4 and says it’s so capable that only ‘trusted cyber defenders’ can have it right now38%▲34 points since the previous source
  6. Hacker NewsGemini 4 Argon (High): Intelligence, Performance and Price Analysis4%▼34 points since the previous source
  7. Current odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Google announces Gemini 4 and says it’s so capable that only ‘trusted cyber defenders’ can have it right now The Verge ·
  2. Google unveils long-awaited Gemini 4 Axios ·
  3. Google announces Gemini 4 Argon AI model, but you can't use it yet Ars Technica ·
  4. Gemini 4 Argon (High): Intelligence, Performance and Price Analysis Hacker News
  5. Gemini 4 Argon Hacker News
  6. Gemini 4 Argon: our next era of frontier intelligence Google DeepMind

In this story