Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$93
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$9k
Resolved1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 14% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Google launches a new Gemini Pro model to the general public on or before October 1, 2026. The No outcome applies if no such qualifying model releases by that date. Readers often mistake closed betas or private access for a valid release.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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