GlobalFoundries to Produce Silicon Interposers for TSMC in $2 Billion US Deal
The five-year agreement adds capacity to the supply chain for advanced packaging tech essential to domestic production of high-performance semiconductors.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 14% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. www.theregister.com published first, on 8 October at 17:22 UTC; Latest from Tom's Hardware followed 1h 01m later. The most recent article, from Latest from Tom's Hardware, appeared on 8 October at 18:23 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.theregister.com, Latest from Tom's Hardware.
One prediction market prices this story:
- TSMC — the market puts it at 14%, with $608 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in TSMC before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this deadline for a date when TSMC must announce plans or complete construction, but only actual equity acquisition by the federal government counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi TSMC 14% +3
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In this story
- GlobalFoundries
- TSMC