Girl Asks Supreme Court to Block Washington State Trans Athlete Rules
A plaintiff petitions the high court to halt state regulations permitting transgender participation in girls' sports.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 24% |
| 8 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 13:31 UTC | 24% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. Washington Post published first, on 6 October at 23:18 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2029 — the market puts it at 24%, with $153 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that lifts the ban on transgender girls and women competing in female sports teams before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if the Court does not issue such a ruling within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about inmate care for the actual resolution criteria regarding sports teams.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2029 24%
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In this story
- Supreme Court
- Washington state