Georgia GOP gubernatorial candidate warns of serious turnout issue Hot: Odds moved 35 points in 24 hours

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 3 November at 01:42 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Above 4.1M — the market puts it at 98%, with $446 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is "Yes" if the total number of votes cast in the Georgia Governor General Election exceeds 4,100,000. The outcome is "No" if the total vote count is 4,100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote count must be finalized, but the resolution depends solely on the final official total.
• Above 3.90M — the market puts it at 92%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the total number of votes cast in the Georgia Senate General Election exceeds 3.9 million. It resolves to No if that total is 3.9 million or fewer. Readers often mistake this for a gubernatorial election because the linked story discusses the governor's race, but the resolution depends strictly on the Senate vote count.
• Governor — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election. This outcome eliminates all runoffs and instant-runoff tabulations. Readers often mistake early voting totals for final results, but only the official certified winner after Election Day counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.