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Above 4.1M

Implied probability 57%+1
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves3 Nov 2027

Why it moved: +5 points at 16:49 UTC, after The Hill: Georgia shatters its day-one early voting record for a midterm — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Above 4.1M
0%50%100%57%13 Oct, 16:31 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now57%
15 Oct, 13:52 UTC57%
14 Oct, 16:49 UTC56%
13 Oct, 16:31 UTC51%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is "Yes" if the total number of votes cast in the Georgia Governor General Election exceeds 4,100,000. The outcome is "No" if the total vote count is 4,100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote count must be finalized, but the resolution depends solely on the final official total.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 57%
  • No 43%

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