Georgia Shatters Day-One Early Voting Record for Midterm Election
More than 188,000 ballots were cast on the first day of early voting, surpassing the previous midterm record by over 50,000 votes.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 51% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 14 October at 16:31 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 18h 48m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 15 October at 11:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 4.1M — the market puts it at 57%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is "Yes" if the total number of votes cast in the Georgia Governor General Election exceeds 4,100,000. The outcome is "No" if the total vote count is 4,100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote count must be finalized, but the resolution depends solely on the final official total.
- Governor — the market puts it at 90%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial general election. This outcome eliminates all runoffs and instant-runoff tabulations. Readers often mistake early voting totals for final results, but only the official certified winner after Election Day counts.
- Georgia — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Georgia legislature adopts new congressional district maps between now and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if no such adoption occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the news headline about early voting records as the resolution criteria instead of the specific legislative action on district maps.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Above 4.1M 57% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Governor 90%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Georgia 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Georgia
- Georgia Secretary of State