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Experts say Arsenal should have been awarded penalty against Hull City

Former officials and panels argue VAR incorrectly ruled Kai Havertz offside, denying Arsenal a penalty in their win over Hull City.

2 publishers · 7 articles · first seen 7 Nov 2026 · updated 29h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Arsenal
0%50%100%79%4 Nov, 18:50 UTCnowSkySports: Liverpool incorrectly denied pen vs Arsenal says independent panel · 11 Nov, 10:33 UTCBBC Sport: Shirt pull on Isak should have been penalty - panel · 11 Nov, 10:23 UTCSkySports: Ref Watch: Did VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal? · 9 Nov, 11:21 UTCSkySports: Did VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal? · 9 Nov, 11:21 UTCBBC Sport: Arsenal should have been awarded penalty against Hull - Cann · 8 Nov, 00:00 UTCSkySports: Dean admits Arsenal SHOULD have been awarded penalty vs Hull · 7 Nov, 17:31 UTCSkySports: 'It's the right process!' - Merse and Dean react to VAR overturning Arsenal penalty · 7 Nov, 15:54 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now79%
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The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 7 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 7 November at 15:54 UTC; BBC Sport followed 8h 06m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 11 November at 10:33 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SkySports, BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Arsenal — the market puts it at 79%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
  • Arsenal — the market puts it at 26%, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.
  • Will Arsenal FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? — the market puts it at 19%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 24 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The deadline for any official result regarding abandonment is Thursday, November 26, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked story about Hull City as relevant, but only the Arsenal vs. Dortmund match outcome matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Arsenal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySports'It's the right process!' - Merse and Dean react to VAR overturning Arsenal penalty71%
  2. SkySportsDean admits Arsenal SHOULD have been awarded penalty vs Hull71%
  3. BBC SportArsenal should have been awarded penalty against Hull - Cann75%▲4 points since the previous source
  4. SkySportsRef Watch: Did VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal?79%▲4 points since the previous source
  5. SkySportsDid VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal?79%
  6. BBC SportShirt pull on Isak should have been penalty - panel79%▼1 points since the previous source
  7. SkySportsLiverpool incorrectly denied pen vs Arsenal says independent panel79%
  8. Current odds79%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Liverpool incorrectly denied pen vs Arsenal says independent panel SkySports
  2. Shirt pull on Isak should have been penalty - panel BBC Sport
  3. Ref Watch: Did VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal? SkySports
  4. Did VAR come to an incorrect decision for Havertz penalty appeal? SkySports
  5. Arsenal should have been awarded penalty against Hull - Cann BBC Sport
  6. Dean admits Arsenal SHOULD have been awarded penalty vs Hull SkySports
  7. 'It's the right process!' - Merse and Dean react to VAR overturning Arsenal penalty SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Arsenal · English Premier League Champion 79% +1 $5k 24hends 13 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Arsenal · FA Cup Champion 26% $22 24hends 5 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Arsenal FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? 19% +1 $3k 24hends 24 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Arsenal
  • Hull City
  • Kai Havertz
  • Mike Dean

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