Former NSW Liberal leads One Nation candidate selection overhaul
Mark Jones, a former NSW Liberal state director, is now instrumental in vetting and selecting candidates for Pauline Hanson's party.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 31 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Nov 2026. The Guardian published first, on 1 November at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- One Nation — the market puts it at 11%, closing 28 Nov 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if One Nation wins the 2026 Victorian state election. It resolves to "No" otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about NSW for the relevant event, but only the outcome of the Victorian election matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi One Nation 11%
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In this story
- Mark Jones
- One Nation
- Liberal party