Equal-Weight S&P 500 Set for Rare Seven-Week Losing Streak

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 30 September at 18:02 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• S&P 500 Equal Weight Index — the market puts it at 40%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index finishes above the standard S&P 500 Index at any point during 2026 by a margin of at least 0.001%. The outcome is No if this condition is not met. Readers often mistake the requirement for a sustained lead or confuse the two indices.
• Before Nov 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 51%, with $320 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the S&P 500 Index exceeds $8,000 at any time between now and November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if the index never reaches that level within this period. Readers often mistake the resolution date for a closing price requirement rather than a threshold check.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.