England face Greece in Women’s World Cup qualifying playoff second leg Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
England host Greece at the King Power Stadium seeking to secure their place in the tournament after leading 3-1 from the first leg.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 57% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 13 October at 17:04 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- England — the market puts it at 61%, with $277 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. England must finish as one of the qualified teams in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final standing in that specific tournament, not on any other competitions like the World Cup qualifiers. Readers often mistakenly believe results from the linked playoff match determine the resolution.
- Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? — resolved “No” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game is canceled without a make-up match or if Greece does not win. Readers often mistake the final aggregate score or extra time results as the deciding factor, but only the outcome at the end of regular time counts.
- England vs. Greece: O/U 4.5 — resolved “Over” on 13 Oct 2026. The Over outcome requires England and Greece to score five or more goals combined during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their combined total is less than five goals in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking extra time or penalties count toward the total when only regular play matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi England 61% −13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? No 58m ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved England vs. Greece: O/U 4.5 Over 58m ago
The market favoured Under at 54% a day out, but Over won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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