England
Why it moved: +4 points at 17:28 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: England v Greece: Women’s World Cup qualifying playoff, second leg – live — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
England must finish as one of the qualified teams in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final standing in that specific tournament, not on any other competitions like the World Cup qualifiers. Readers often mistakenly believe results from the linked playoff match determine the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%