Formula 1 Signs 10-Year Deal to Return to Africa via Rwanda in Early 2030s Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
Rwanda has signed a decade-long agreement with Formula One to host its first African Grand Prix since 1993, beginning in the early 2030s.
First reported by BBC Sport, 1 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Oct, 00:32 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 18% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Rwanda respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 13 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 13 October at 09:20 UTC; SkySports followed 2 min later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 13 October at 11:20 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports, Deutsche Welle.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Rwanda — the market puts it at 31%, with $159 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if a confirmed human case of Ebola in Rwanda is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. The 'No' outcome applies if no such case is reported within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked F1 story for the resolution criteria, but only Ebola cases count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Rwanda at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportRwanda to host F1's first race in Africa since 199328%
- SkySportsFormula 1 to return to Africa as 10-year deal for Rwanda race signed28%
- Bloomberg TechnologyFormula 1 Set to Return to Africa With Rwanda Grand Prix28%
- The Guardian SportF1 returns to Africa for first time since 1993 with 10-year Rwanda deal from ‘early 2030s’28%
- Deutsche WelleFormula 1: Rwanda to bring sport back to Africa31%▲3 points since the previous source
- Current odds31%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- F1 returns to Africa for first time since 1993 with 10-year Rwanda deal from ‘early 2030s’ The Guardian Sport ·
- Formula 1 Set to Return to Africa With Rwanda Grand Prix Bloomberg Technology ·
- Formula 1: Rwanda to bring sport back to Africa Deutsche Welle
- Formula 1 to return to Africa as 10-year deal for Rwanda race signed SkySports
- Rwanda to host F1's first race in Africa since 1993 BBC Sport
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Rwanda 31% +13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Formula One
- Rwanda
- Kigali
- Lewis Hamilton
- Stefano Domenicali