NewsMarkets

World

Congo's Ebola Outbreak Tops 11,000 Cases as Death Toll Reaches 5,387

The Democratic Republic of Congo reports over 11,000 confirmed cases and more than 5,300 deaths in its deadliest Ebola outbreak, while Kenya treats its final patient.

6 publishers · 7 articles · first seen 10 Nov 2026 · updated 9h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
0%50%100%11%5 Nov, 15:25 UTCnowNPR World: Ebola tops 11,000 cases in Congo's deadliest outbreak · 11 Nov, 09:16 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Ebola cases in DR Congo pass 11,000, with 5,387 deaths · 11 Nov, 04:44 UTCLatest articles: Congo Ebola outbreak still out of control after six months, MSF says · 12 Nov, 07:03 UTCWHO | Regional Office for Africa: Respiratory virus surveillance in the WHO African Region Epidemiological Week 44, October 26 to November 1 2026 · 11 Nov, 23:01 UTCDeutsche Welle: Kenya's last Ebola patient leaves hospital · 11 Nov, 16:16 UTCMedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: 5,387 Dead in Outbreak; Cheese Recall Expands; Breast Cancer Chemo May Speed Aging · 11 Nov, 14:22 UTCWHO | Regional Office for Africa: BUNDIBUGYO VIRUS DISEASE OUTBREAK Democratic Republic of the Congo | Kenya | Nigeria - Weekly External Situation Report 25, Data as of 7 November 2026 · 10 Nov, 20:10 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now11%
12 Nov, 14:38 UTC11%
12 Nov, 11:11 UTC11%
12 Nov, 10:34 UTC10%
12 Nov, 10:20 UTC11%
12 Nov, 04:22 UTC10%
11 Nov, 20:29 UTC10%
11 Nov, 19:40 UTC10%
11 Nov, 18:25 UTC10%
11 Nov, 17:50 UTC10%
11 Nov, 16:25 UTC10%
11 Nov, 15:49 UTC10%
11 Nov, 13:45 UTC10%
11 Nov, 08:10 UTC11%
11 Nov, 07:57 UTC13%
10 Nov, 17:29 UTC9%
10 Nov, 13:50 UTC9%
10 Nov, 13:22 UTC9%
10 Nov, 04:15 UTC11%
9 Nov, 23:59 UTC17%
9 Nov, 22:58 UTC20%
9 Nov, 20:41 UTC20%
9 Nov, 15:58 UTC20%
9 Nov, 09:02 UTC20%
9 Nov, 08:30 UTC20%
9 Nov, 06:30 UTC21%
9 Nov, 05:09 UTC21%
9 Nov, 04:35 UTC23%
9 Nov, 04:02 UTC22%
9 Nov, 02:41 UTC22%
9 Nov, 01:27 UTC21%
8 Nov, 16:34 UTC22%
8 Nov, 15:41 UTC22%
8 Nov, 14:40 UTC22%
8 Nov, 14:26 UTC22%
8 Nov, 13:59 UTC21%
8 Nov, 13:14 UTC22%
8 Nov, 11:13 UTC22%
8 Nov, 10:59 UTC22%
8 Nov, 06:54 UTC22%
8 Nov, 06:06 UTC23%
8 Nov, 05:10 UTC23%
8 Nov, 04:57 UTC23%
8 Nov, 04:09 UTC23%
8 Nov, 03:29 UTC23%
8 Nov, 01:05 UTC23%
7 Nov, 15:39 UTC22%
7 Nov, 04:12 UTC22%
7 Nov, 03:39 UTC21%
7 Nov, 02:09 UTC22%
7 Nov, 01:48 UTC21%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC22%
6 Nov, 06:28 UTC22%
6 Nov, 05:25 UTC23%
6 Nov, 04:13 UTC22%
6 Nov, 03:58 UTC23%
6 Nov, 01:24 UTC22%
5 Nov, 23:44 UTC22%
5 Nov, 23:22 UTC23%
5 Nov, 22:54 UTC23%
5 Nov, 22:11 UTC22%
5 Nov, 20:35 UTC22%
5 Nov, 20:04 UTC23%
5 Nov, 19:57 UTC22%
5 Nov, 19:14 UTC23%
5 Nov, 16:05 UTC21%
5 Nov, 15:57 UTC22%
5 Nov, 15:25 UTC21%

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 10 Nov 2026. WHO | Regional Office for Africa published first, on 10 November at 20:10 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 8h 33m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 12 November at 07:03 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR World (major outlet), WHO | Regional Office for Africa, MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians, Deutsche Welle, Latest articles.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? — the market puts it at 11%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. A Yes outcome requires a confirmed Ebola case within the Republic of the Congo before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The location of exposure or testing does not matter as long as the infection is identified in that country. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Democratic Republic of the Congo for a relevant case, but the market specifically tracks the Republic of the Congo.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. WHO | Regional Office for AfricaBUNDIBUGYO VIRUS DISEASE OUTBREAK Democratic Republic of the Congo | Kenya | Nigeria - Weekly External Situation Report 25, Data as of 7 November 20269%
  2. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraEbola cases in DR Congo pass 11,000, with 5,387 deaths9%
  3. NPR WorldEbola tops 11,000 cases in Congo's deadliest outbreak11%▲2 points since the previous source
  4. MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians5,387 Dead in Outbreak; Cheese Recall Expands; Breast Cancer Chemo May Speed Aging10%▼1 points since the previous source
  5. Deutsche WelleKenya's last Ebola patient leaves hospital10%▼1 points since the previous source
  6. WHO | Regional Office for AfricaRespiratory virus surveillance in the WHO African Region Epidemiological Week 44, October 26 to November 1 202610%
  7. Latest articlesCongo Ebola outbreak still out of control after six months, MSF says10%
  8. Current odds11%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Ebola tops 11,000 cases in Congo's deadliest outbreak NPR World ·
  2. Ebola cases in DR Congo pass 11,000, with 5,387 deaths Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  3. Congo Ebola outbreak still out of control after six months, MSF says Latest articles
  4. Respiratory virus surveillance in the WHO African Region Epidemiological Week 44, October 26 to November 1 2026 WHO | Regional Office for Africa
  5. Kenya's last Ebola patient leaves hospital Deutsche Welle
  6. 5,387 Dead in Outbreak; Cheese Recall Expands; Breast Cancer Chemo May Speed Aging MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
  7. BUNDIBUGYO VIRUS DISEASE OUTBREAK Democratic Republic of the Congo | Kenya | Nigeria - Weekly External Situation Report 25, Data as of 7 November 2026 WHO | Regional Office for Africa

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? 11% +1 $15 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Alert me when the odds move

Email: we send a link to confirm first, and you can unsubscribe in one click. Browser notifications need no email and are turned off on the Following page. At most one alert every six hours either way. Privacy

In this story

  • Congo
  • DR Congo
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria

Related stories

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.