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Duckett and Dawson lead England to tri-series win over Sri Lanka Hot: $430k traded on its market in 24 hours

Ben Duckett scored 167 and Liam Dawson took four wickets as England defeated Sri Lanka by 55 runs in Lahore.

3 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 29 Oct 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 4h 59m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England
0%50%100%0%27 Oct, 18:14 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Duckett and Dawson steer England to victory over Sri Lanka in tri-series farewell · 29 Oct, 16:46 UTCBBC Sport: Duckett and Dawson deliver in England's consolation win · 29 Oct, 16:22 UTCSkySports: Duckett, Dawson star as England hold off Sri Lanka for consolation win · 29 Oct, 16:10 UTCSkySports: 'Amazing innings!' - Duckett stars for England with marvellous 167! · 29 Oct, 11:23 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
29 Oct, 16:07 UTC1%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC34%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC23%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC16%
29 Oct, 14:24 UTC19%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC14%
29 Oct, 13:29 UTC13%
29 Oct, 12:52 UTC9%
29 Oct, 12:03 UTC11%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC11%
29 Oct, 11:12 UTC10%
29 Oct, 10:58 UTC10%
29 Oct, 10:26 UTC16%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC13%
29 Oct, 09:26 UTC14%
29 Oct, 08:43 UTC23%
29 Oct, 08:26 UTC31%
29 Oct, 07:51 UTC34%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC33%
29 Oct, 05:22 UTC34%
29 Oct, 04:49 UTC33%
29 Oct, 04:21 UTC33%
29 Oct, 03:42 UTC33%
29 Oct, 03:14 UTC34%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC33%
29 Oct, 00:20 UTC33%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC33%
28 Oct, 21:49 UTC34%
28 Oct, 20:02 UTC33%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC33%
28 Oct, 18:14 UTC33%
27 Oct, 18:14 UTC33%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 29 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 29 October at 11:23 UTC; BBC Sport followed 4h 59m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 29 October at 16:46 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England — the market puts it at 0%, with $430k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Sri Lanka if they win the scheduled match, and to England if they win it. A tied result without a Super Over or with a canceled match leads to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about the tri-series elimination for the final outcome of this specific head-to-head fixture.
  • England — the market puts it at 23%, with $171 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake a single match victory, like the one against Croatia, for winning the entire championship.
  • Hong Kong Sixes: Scotland vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Draw — the market puts it at 30%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome applies if a Scottish player scores the most runs alone. The No outcome applies if a Sri Lankan player scores the most runs alone. Readers often mistake shared top scores for a win for one side, but these cases resolve to Draw.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySports'Amazing innings!' - Duckett stars for England with marvellous 167!10%
  2. SkySportsDuckett, Dawson star as England hold off Sri Lanka for consolation win1%▼9 points since the previous source
  3. BBC SportDuckett and Dawson deliver in England's consolation win1%
  4. The Guardian SportDuckett and Dawson steer England to victory over Sri Lanka in tri-series farewell1%
  5. Current odds0%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Duckett and Dawson steer England to victory over Sri Lanka in tri-series farewell The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Duckett and Dawson deliver in England's consolation win BBC Sport
  3. Duckett, Dawson star as England hold off Sri Lanka for consolation win SkySports
  4. 'Amazing innings!' - Duckett stars for England with marvellous 167! SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England 0% −33 $430k 24hends 5 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi England 23% $171 24hends 28 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Hong Kong Sixes: Scotland vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Draw 30% −19 $3k 24hends 7 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Ben Duckett
  • Liam Dawson
  • England
  • Sri Lanka
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