Hong Kong Sixes: Scotland vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Draw
Why it moved: −17 points at 17:26 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Duckett and Dawson steer England to victory over Sri Lanka in tri-series farewell — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome applies if a Scottish player scores the most runs alone. The No outcome applies if a Sri Lankan player scores the most runs alone. Readers often mistake shared top scores for a win for one side, but these cases resolve to Draw.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 68%
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