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England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England

Implied probability 14%−15
24-hour volume$89k
Total volume$93k
Liquidity$131k
Resolves5 Nov 2026

Why it moved: −9 points at 09:26 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Sri Lanka v England: men’s cricket tri-series one-day international – live — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England
0%50%100%14%27 Oct, 18:14 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC13%
29 Oct, 09:26 UTC14%
29 Oct, 08:43 UTC23%
29 Oct, 08:26 UTC31%
29 Oct, 07:51 UTC34%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC33%
29 Oct, 05:22 UTC34%
29 Oct, 04:49 UTC33%
29 Oct, 04:21 UTC33%
29 Oct, 03:42 UTC33%
29 Oct, 03:14 UTC34%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC33%
29 Oct, 00:20 UTC33%
28 Oct, 22:25 UTC33%
28 Oct, 21:49 UTC34%
28 Oct, 20:02 UTC33%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC33%
28 Oct, 18:14 UTC33%
27 Oct, 18:14 UTC33%

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What counts

The market resolves to Sri Lanka if they win the scheduled match, and to England if they win it. A tied result without a Super Over or with a canceled match leads to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about the tri-series elimination for the final outcome of this specific head-to-head fixture.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Sri Lanka 14%
  • England 86%

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