Customers Pay $50,000 to Reserve Tesla Roadster
Buyers are spending significant sums to secure reservations for the upcoming electric vehicle.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 90% |
| 29 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 90% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 84% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 87% |
| 16 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 81% |
| 16 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 77% |
| 15 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 71% |
| 15 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 99% |
| 15 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 47% |
| 14 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 54% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Oct 2026. WIRED published first, on 28 October at 09:45 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- At least $250,000 — the market puts it at 90%, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces a starting price of at least $250,000 for the second-generation Roadster. The resolution depends solely on the first official price stated by Tesla. Readers often mistake the actual delivery date or third-party estimates for the decisive factor.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 1%, with $11 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that event does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Tesla Semi truck for the relevant vehicle, but only the Roadster counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least $250,000 90% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 1% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Tesla