At least $250,000
Implied probability 75%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces a starting price of at least $250,000 for the second-generation Roadster. The resolution depends solely on the first official price stated by Tesla. Readers often mistake the actual delivery date or third-party estimates for the decisive factor.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%