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Cruz Warns Texas Could Lose All Statewide Races

Senator Ted Cruz warns that Texas could lose every single statewide race.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 30 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · At least 2
0%50%100%49%29 Oct, 18:22 UTCnowpolitico.com: Ted Cruz warns ‘We could lose every single statewide race in Texas’ · 30 Oct, 17:55 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now49%
1 Nov, 05:47 UTC49%
29 Oct, 18:22 UTC54%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 30 October at 17:55 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • At least 2 — the market puts it at 49%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Democratic nominees win two or more statewide races in Texas during the November 3, 2026 general election. It resolves to No if they win fewer than two. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
  • Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 3%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. Ted Cruz wins if he secures and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. The market resolves to No if he does not win or accept the nomination, regardless of any later replacements before election day.
  • Ted Cruz — the market puts it at 2%, with $484 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Ted Cruz wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his comments for the actual resolution event.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Ted Cruz warns ‘We could lose every single statewide race in Texas’ politico.com ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi At least 2 49% −5 $1 24hends 3 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 3% $2k 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Ted Cruz 2% $484 24hends 7 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Ted Cruz
  • Texas
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