Ted Cruz
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$77k
Total volume$2.1M
Liquidity$2.1M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Ted Cruz wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his comments for the actual resolution event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%