Christian Wade Scores Hat-Trick as Newcastle Lose to Exeter
Christian Wade scores a hat-trick for Newcastle in their 34-28 defeat at Exeter, marking his 100th Premiership try.
First reported by BBC Sport, 33 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 35% |
| 9 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 59% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 57% |
| 24 Sept, 21:09 UTC | 51% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Newcastle United respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 11 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 11 October at 16:05 UTC; SkySports followed 34 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 11 October at 18:04 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Newcastle United — the market puts it at 49%, with $206 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top half of the Premier League table during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they finish outside that range. Readers often mistake the final league position for a specific match result or confuse the resolution with the team's performance in other competitions.
- Newcastle United — the market puts it at 14%, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top six of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings. It resolves to No if they finish seventh or lower. Readers often mistake the linked story about Northampton for a relevant event, but only Newcastle's final league position matters.
- Newcastle United — the market puts it at 6%, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Newcastle United must finish in the top four of the 2026-27 English Premier League for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final league standing at the end of that specific season. Readers often mistake a single match result, like the linked game against Exeter, as determining the final outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Newcastle United at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Newcastle United 49% +5
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Newcastle United 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Newcastle United 6% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Christian Wade
- Exeter
- Newcastle