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Christian Wade Scores Hat-Trick as Newcastle Lose to Exeter

Christian Wade scores a hat-trick for Newcastle in their 34-28 defeat at Exeter, marking his 100th Premiership try.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 11 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

First reported by BBC Sport, 33 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Newcastle United
0%50%100%49%24 Sept, 21:09 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Exeter finally get first win despite Christian Wade’s hat-trick for Newcastle · 11 Oct, 18:04 UTCSkySports: Exeter hold on against Newcastle as Sale extend Harlequins woes · 11 Oct, 16:39 UTCBBC Sport: Wade scores 100th Prem try as Newcastle lose to Exeter · 11 Oct, 16:05 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now49%
13 Oct, 02:14 UTC49%
12 Oct, 22:01 UTC34%
12 Oct, 21:26 UTC54%
12 Oct, 20:29 UTC34%
12 Oct, 19:34 UTC35%
9 Oct, 16:37 UTC44%
7 Oct, 15:03 UTC48%
7 Oct, 13:51 UTC50%
2 Oct, 15:23 UTC35%
28 Sept, 06:36 UTC52%
28 Sept, 04:15 UTC59%
25 Sept, 21:27 UTC57%
24 Sept, 21:09 UTC51%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 11 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 11 October at 16:05 UTC; SkySports followed 34 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 11 October at 18:04 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Newcastle United — the market puts it at 49%, with $206 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top half of the Premier League table during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they finish outside that range. Readers often mistake the final league position for a specific match result or confuse the resolution with the team's performance in other competitions.
  • Newcastle United — the market puts it at 14%, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top six of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings. It resolves to No if they finish seventh or lower. Readers often mistake the linked story about Northampton for a relevant event, but only Newcastle's final league position matters.
  • Newcastle United — the market puts it at 6%, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Newcastle United must finish in the top four of the 2026-27 English Premier League for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final league standing at the end of that specific season. Readers often mistake a single match result, like the linked game against Exeter, as determining the final outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Newcastle United at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. BBC SportWade scores 100th Prem try as Newcastle lose to Exeter44%
  2. SkySportsExeter hold on against Newcastle as Sale extend Harlequins woes44%
  3. The Guardian SportExeter finally get first win despite Christian Wade’s hat-trick for Newcastle44%
  4. Current odds49%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Exeter finally get first win despite Christian Wade’s hat-trick for Newcastle The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Exeter hold on against Newcastle as Sale extend Harlequins woes SkySports
  3. Wade scores 100th Prem try as Newcastle lose to Exeter BBC Sport

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Newcastle United 49% +5 $206 24hends 14 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Newcastle United 14% $0 24hends 14 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Newcastle United 6% −1 $0 24hends 14 Jun 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Christian Wade
  • Exeter
  • Newcastle
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