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Newcastle United

Implied probability 13%−11
24-hour volume$92
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves14 Jun 2027

Why it moved: −11 points at 21:27 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Freeman and Pater inspire Northampton to opening win against Newcastle — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Newcastle United
0%50%100%13%24 Sept, 21:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
25 Sept, 21:27 UTC13%
24 Sept, 21:09 UTC24%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top six of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings. It resolves to No if they finish seventh or lower. Readers often mistake the linked story about Northampton for a relevant event, but only Newcastle's final league position matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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