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Newcastle United

Implied probability 57%+6
24-hour volume$77
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$22k
Resolves14 Jun 2027

Why it moved: +6 points at 21:27 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Freeman and Pater inspire Northampton to opening win against Newcastle — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Newcastle United
0%50%100%57%24 Sept, 21:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now57%
25 Sept, 21:27 UTC57%
24 Sept, 21:09 UTC51%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Newcastle United finishes in the top half of the Premier League table during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they finish outside that range. Readers often mistake the final league position for a specific match result or confuse the resolution with the team's performance in other competitions.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 57%
  • No 43%

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