US Arrests Man for Smuggling Nvidia Chips to China as State-Backed Firm Funds Deal
Authorities arrested Greg Lui for smuggling $300 million in restricted chips, while documents reveal Semi-Tech Leasing Group funded the purchase.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nvidia respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 1 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 1 October at 21:00 UTC; theinformation.com followed 10h 50m later. The most recent article, from theinformation.com, appeared on 2 October at 07:55 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), theinformation.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 8%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nvidia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyChinese State-Backed Firm Disclosed Nvidia Blackwell Chips Deal8%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMan Charged by US With Illegally Shipping Nvidia Chips to China8%
- theinformation.comChinese State-Backed Firm Funded Purchase of Nvidia Chips8%
- theinformation.comCalifornia Man Arrested for Smuggling Nvidia Chips to China8%
- Current odds8%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Man Charged by US With Illegally Shipping Nvidia Chips to China Bloomberg Technology ·
- Chinese State-Backed Firm Disclosed Nvidia Blackwell Chips Deal Bloomberg Technology ·
- California Man Arrested for Smuggling Nvidia Chips to China theinformation.com
- Chinese State-Backed Firm Funded Purchase of Nvidia Chips theinformation.com
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Nvidia 8% −6
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In this story
- Nvidia Corp.
- Greg Lui
- Earthmade Computer Inc.
- Semi-Tech Leasing Group