China Factory Activity Returns to Expansion as Outlook Brightens
Policymakers deploy new measures to support the economy as factory activity expands for the first time since June.
The odds had already moved 6 points in the 24 hours before the first report , and 1 in the 24 hours after · what the market priced in first
Markets on this story
- Kalshi By 2030 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi China 1% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 18% |
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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.