NewsMarkets

World

Carney Gains Nobel and Time Person of the Year Buzz for Standing Up to Trump

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney sees rising odds for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize after prediction markets react to his diplomatic stance against US President Donald Trump.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 30 Sept 2026 · updated 2h ago

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 2% $20k 24hends 1 Apr 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Mark Carney 52% +2 $2 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Trump No 1h ago

    The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

How the odds moved · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0%50%100%2%23 Sept, 07:27 UTCnowABC News: Mark Carney's stand against Trump leads to Nobel Peace Prize and Time Person of the Year buzz · 30 Sept, 05:45 UTCSouth China Morning Post: There’s been buzz around Carney for a prize long coveted by Trump · 30 Sept, 04:46 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
30 Sept, 03:49 UTC2%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC2%
29 Sept, 13:42 UTC2%
29 Sept, 12:40 UTC2%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC2%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC2%
28 Sept, 13:20 UTC2%
28 Sept, 10:16 UTC2%
27 Sept, 17:59 UTC2%
27 Sept, 03:06 UTC2%
27 Sept, 02:14 UTC2%
26 Sept, 11:29 UTC2%
26 Sept, 09:57 UTC2%
26 Sept, 09:24 UTC2%
26 Sept, 08:12 UTC2%
26 Sept, 05:16 UTC2%
26 Sept, 03:08 UTC2%
25 Sept, 15:50 UTC2%
25 Sept, 05:24 UTC2%
25 Sept, 03:44 UTC2%
25 Sept, 01:13 UTC2%
25 Sept, 00:52 UTC2%
24 Sept, 19:31 UTC2%
24 Sept, 17:27 UTC2%
24 Sept, 12:42 UTC2%
24 Sept, 11:02 UTC2%
24 Sept, 09:43 UTC2%
24 Sept, 09:29 UTC2%
24 Sept, 05:54 UTC2%
24 Sept, 03:32 UTC2%
24 Sept, 02:44 UTC2%
23 Sept, 20:55 UTC2%
23 Sept, 13:28 UTC2%
23 Sept, 08:46 UTC2%
23 Sept, 07:27 UTC2%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Mark Carney's stand against Trump leads to Nobel Peace Prize and Time Person of the Year buzz ABC News ·
  2. There’s been buzz around Carney for a prize long coveted by Trump South China Morning Post

In this story

Related stories