Carney Gains Nobel and Time Person of the Year Buzz for Standing Up to Trump
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney sees rising odds for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize after prediction markets react to his diplomatic stance against US President Donald Trump.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Mark Carney 52% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Trump No 1h ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 10:16 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 05:16 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 03:44 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 01:13 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 19:31 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 11:02 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 09:29 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 03:32 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
In this story
- Mark Carney
- Donald Trump
- Nobel Peace Prize
- Time magazine
- Kalshi