Mark Carney
Implied probability 52%+2
24-hour volume$2
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 05:50 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Carney visits the White House between December 9, 2025, and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not make that visit within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Nobel buzz for a valid visit, but only an actual physical trip to the White House counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%