Bond Volatility Rises as Bitcoin and Stocks Remain Unaffected
Market indicators show bond volatility increasing while equity and cryptocurrency assets continue to trade without immediate reaction.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 7% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 07:33 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 10:16 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 19:13 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 15:52 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 12:01 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 10:51 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 06:17 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 05:57 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 04:25 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 18:22 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 14:46 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 19:31 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 09:36 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 01:14 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 00:09 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 22:20 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 08:11 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 05:00 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 20:04 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 15:04 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 09:52 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 09:20 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 08:31 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 03:54 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 01:25 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Sept, 00:47 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 20:41 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 19:55 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 19:05 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 15:49 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Sept, 14:29 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Sept, 13:39 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 13% |
| 21 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Sept, 10:58 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Sept, 10:03 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 08:37 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 07:28 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 02:40 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Sept, 17:40 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Sept, 10:08 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 7% |
| 17 Sept, 22:08 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 16:41 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 16:12 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 13:14 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 05:52 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Sept, 02:00 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 11:12 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 10:25 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Sept, 01:38 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Sept, 01:14 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 16:10 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 12:19 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Sept, 08:23 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Sept, 07:37 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 04:14 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 22:07 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 14:17 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 04:54 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 04:29 UTC | 7% |
| 14 Sept, 02:04 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 01:56 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 00:00 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 22:06 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 20:41 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 14:38 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 11:12 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 09:44 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 08:07 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 05:01 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 02:35 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 6 October at 11:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 6%, with $102 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a one-minute candle on Binance for BTC/USDT shows a higher high than any previous candle between December 16, 2025, and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline or rely on price data from sources other than Binance.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- bitcoin