Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$1.9M
Liquidity$83k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a one-minute candle on Binance for BTC/USDT shows a higher high than any previous candle between December 16, 2025, and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline or rely on price data from sources other than Binance.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 97%
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