Bonamici Jumps Into House Education Committee Leadership Race
The Oregon Democrat challenges current ranking member Bobby Scott for the panel's top spot.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 80% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 83% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 84% |
| 6 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 76% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 6 Oct 2026. Politico Congress published first, on 6 October at 22:15 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? — the market puts it at 79%, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Democrats win if their nominee takes the 2026 Oregon governor race. The outcome depends on which party’s candidate is declared the winner by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. Readers often mistake the linked story about Bonamici as relevant to this market, but it does not affect the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? 79%
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In this story
- Bonamici
- Bobby Scott
- Oregon
- Virginia