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Bodycam footage shows Luigi Mangione's arrest at Pennsylvania McDonald's

Newly released video captures the December 2024 apprehension of the suspect accused of killing United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Luigi Mangione
0%50%100%2%1 Oct, 21:14 UTCnowThe Guardian US: ‘That’s 100% him’: new video shows moment police arrested Luigi Mangione · 2 Oct, 22:20 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Police bodycam shows Luigi Mangione arrest at Pennsylvania McDonald’s · 2 Oct, 21:59 UTCThe Guardian US: Newly released bodycam video shows arrest of Luigi Mangione – video · 2 Oct, 21:51 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
1 Oct, 21:14 UTC2%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 2 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 2 October at 21:51 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 8 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 2 October at 22:20 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet).

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Luigi Mangione — the market puts it at 2%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is the number one search result on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global list for People in 2026. It resolves to No if he does not hold that top spot. Readers often mistake the arrest footage or general news popularity as sufficient, but only his ranking on this specific Google list matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Luigi Mangione at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The Guardian USNewly released bodycam video shows arrest of Luigi Mangione – video2%
  2. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPolice bodycam shows Luigi Mangione arrest at Pennsylvania McDonald’s2%
  3. The Guardian US‘That’s 100% him’: new video shows moment police arrested Luigi Mangione2%
  4. Current odds2%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. ‘That’s 100% him’: new video shows moment police arrested Luigi Mangione The Guardian US ·
  2. Police bodycam shows Luigi Mangione arrest at Pennsylvania McDonald’s Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  3. Newly released bodycam video shows arrest of Luigi Mangione – video The Guardian US ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Luigi Mangione 2% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Luigi Mangione
  • Brian Thompson
  • United Healthcare
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